Introduction: Moving Beyond Predictive Accuracy  Prediction has been traditionally the backbone of applied data science. From ...

In a report summary released today Thomas McAndrew, a computational scientist and assistant professor at Lehigh University's College of Health includes probabilistic forecasts of the impact of ...

A group of Americans residing in Taiwan are seen gathering at a bar, watching streaming videos for live results of the election and the speech by Donald Trump on TV and laptops, before the final ...

This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract Conventional statistical postprocessing techniques offer limited ability to improve the skills of probabilistic guidance for heavy ...

This article compares the skill of medium-range probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts (PQPFs) generated via two postprocessing mechanisms: 1) the mixed-type meta-Gaussian distribution ...

Election season is officially upon us. FiveThirtyEight has officially released Nate Silver’s 2020 forecast, and the Economist debuted its first-ever statistical forecast of a U.S. presidential race.

A tool created by a team at The Upshot uses data from the National Weather Service to communicate the unpredictability of snowstorms. By Terence McGinley Times Insider explains who we are and what we ...

The probability of the inverted yield curve ending by February 9, 2024, is 32.8%, compared to 20.4% last week. There is a 23.4% probability of negative 3-month bill rates by February 5, 2027. The ...